If You Ask Me: A Global Banker Reflects on Our Times

Wriston, Walter B.

2007

They Can't Leave the System

 

If another currency were substituted for the dollar as the world's reserve medium, could the U.S. cope with the situation, given the staggering amount of dollars held overseas?

There is a basic misconception involved here. The only place you can spend a dollar is in the United States of America. That's central to understanding the whole problem.

To trace that through for you: Suppose we are instructed to move money out of a U.S. dollar account here and deposit it with, say, the Banco di Credito in Italy. All that happens is we get a cable that says, "Charge our account $10 million and credit the account of Banco di Credito." The balance sheet in America remains exactly the same. If that bank then lends those Eurodollars to Barclays Bank, we get a cable saying, "Charge Credito and credit Barclays." Again, the balance sheet here remains exactly the same. If Barclays decides that they like deutschemarks, they sell the dollars, say, to the Deutschebank. We get a cable saying, "Charge Barclays $10 million and credit Deutschebank." Once more our balance is unchanged.

So, dollars are overseas, and they're overseas, but there never is a problem about "all those dollars going abroad." The dollars cannot leave the system because it's a closed system. So it's really a mythical problem.

I have one more question. How will Europe's adoption of the EMS[18]  affect the value and stability of the dollar?

For the first six months it will be a trader's paradise because they'll know what the rates are. I wouldn't give it much more than six months because in order to hold it together, those countries would have to harmonize their various economic policies. There's no evidence in history to show that different countries will do anything but pursue their own national interests, which are different in each country. Over time, I suspect that this snake would self-destruct the same as the last one did.

 
 
Footnotes:

[18] European Monetary System, an expanded version of the currency snake.

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  • The document was created from a compilation of interviews and question and answer segments with Walter B. Wriston which was later compiled into "If You Ask Me: A Global Banker Reflects on Our Times" in 1980. The original speech is located in MS134.001.034.00018.
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 Title Page
If You Ask Me: A Global Banker Reflects on Our Times
Rationale
I: Getting Down to Fundamentals
The Big Cop-out
You Can't Go Bail for Everyone
Risk Is What It's All About
II: Some Basic Ills of the Body Politic
Lincoln Wouldn't Have Made It
Unpredictable Is a Dangerous Country
The Pitfalls of Single-issue Politics
Expect To Get Zapped
The Perils of Legal Pollution
The Injustice of Our Tax System
Those Wonderful People Who Bring You Inflation
Stop the Presses
Silly Premises Lead to Nutty Conclusions
Easier Said Than Done
III: New York, New York
New York City Is Alive And Well
The Road Back
IV: Careers
Rx for Happiness
Good Forward Planning
Dull Job?
A Simple Matter of Survival
Making It at Citibank
What Fast Track?
No Hiding Place
V: Once Around the World Quickly
South Africa
China: A Matter of Timing
The Real Significance of Iran
Iran and the Money Markets
Fashions in Country-criticizing
VI: The Global Financial Scene
The Elusive Eurodollar
De Facto Payments Mechanism
Too Big To Move
The Foreign Exchange Game
They Can't Leave the System
Baskets of Money
Swiss Francs
The Value of a Dollar
Not a Loss Since 1897
A Rational View of LDC Loans
Free Trade Benefits Consumers
The Destructive Costs of Regulation
The Big Rip-off
A Real Entitlement
Can Regulations Prevent Bum Loans?
The Insidious Side of Controls
Competition in Regulation
VIII: The Shape of Things To Come
Not As Big As You Think
What Lobby?
Armageddon Is Late, as Usual
Some Simple Facts about Interest Rates
An Expensive Luxury
How Big Is Big?
What We Did Yesterday Won't Work Tomorrow
A Matter of Semantics
Unpredictable Is a Dangerous Country
Privacy: A Serious Problem
The Unseen Revolution
Things Are Going To Be Different
Take the Handcuffs off Everybody
The Gray Areas of Lending
No Mouse under the Rug
Thank God We Don't Have National Banking
Competition Keeps You Awake
Accounting for Loan Losses
Not a Utility
People Like It
Computer Frauds
Some Final Words on Responsibility
Sources
About the Author