Memory and Probability.
Barch, Daniel.
2012
-
Abstract: This thesis examines how we store probabilities, how remembered
probabilities affect decisions, and how memory for probability judgments determined by a
single event interacts with implicit probability judgments formed by exposure to repeated
events. The first experiment deployed a novel paradigm in the form of a card game to
examine how memory for stochastic events influences choice ... read morefollowing intervening decision
tasks. The second experiment investigated memory for the context of game trials. The third
experiment modified an existing memory research paradigm in order to examine the ability to
remember probabilistic information following a single presentation of an event with a
visible sample space. Increasing retention interval has a significant, systematic, and
degrading effect on optimal choices based on judgments of relative probability, but
reinforcement is somewhat more robust. However, memory for simple probabilities derived
from events with clearly presented sample spaces is more accurate. Implications and future
research are discussed.
Thesis (M.S.)--Tufts University, 2012.
Submitted to the Dept. of Psychology.
Advisor: Richard Chechile.
Committee: Ayanna Thomas, and David Garman.
Keyword: Cognitive psychology.read less - ID:
- wh2475394
- Component ID:
- tufts:20731
- To Cite:
- TARC Citation Guide EndNote
