Political Betting Markets: Inefficiencies, Information Integration, and Effectiveness

Weinflash, Noah W.


  • How effectively do political betting markets-- betting markets on political events such as elections-- predict election outcomes? Are the markets biased towards or against certain candidate traits in a discernible way? How do these markets compare to the polls? These topics are explored in an analysis of 2016 election data from PredictIt.com. Advisor Thomas Downes
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