Improving Bayesian Reasoning: The Effects of Phrasing, Visualization, and Spatial Ability.

Chang, Remco.

Ottley, Alvitta.

Peck, Evan M.

Harrison, Lane T.

Afergan, Daniel.

Ziemkiewicz, Caroline.

Taylor, Holly A.

Han, Paul K.J.

2016.

Description
  • Decades of research have repeatedly shown that people perform poorly at estimating and understanding conditional probabilities that are inherent in Bayesian reasoning problems. Yet in the medical domain, both physicians and patients make daily, life-critical judgments based on conditional probability. Although there have been a number of attempts to develop more effective ways to facilitate Bayesi... read more
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  • Ottley, Alvitta, Evan M. Peck, Lane T. Harrison, Daniel Afergan, Caroline Ziemkiewicz, Holly A. Taylor, Paul K. J. Han, and Remco Chang. "Improving Bayesian Reasoning: The Effects of Phrasing, Visualization, and Spatial Ability." IEEE Transactions on Visualization and Computer Graphics 22, no. 1 (January 31, 2016): 529-538. doi:10.1109/tvcg.2015.2467758.
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