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Submitted in partial fulfillment of the degree Master of Arts in Law and Diplomacy at the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy. Abstract: The task of this thesis is to investigate and locate the causality of strategic surprise. It argues that causality is located in the function of cognitive rigidities. It uses cases studies to develop the idea of cognitive rigidity. Using the insights from the ... read morecase studies this thesis will propose three models codifying points of origin of cognitive rigidity. Model A represents cognitive rigidity originating from the adoption of abstract assumptions. Model B represents cognitive rigidity originating from learned historical experience. Model C represents cognitive rigidity originating from operational rigidity. The thesis also briefly considers remedial therapies to mitigate cognitive rigidity.read less
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